Model v22014-2024 · 1.34M plays
Every snap has a number.
YardLine reads the score, the clock, the down and the field and tells you what the game is actually worth - one model, trained on a decade of college football, no takes attached.
1.3M
plays trained on
91%
AUC on held-out seasons
9,439
games replayable
OSU at ND · Week 1
34-23ND sat at 2% at one point. See the whole curve on the game page.
01
Set the situation
A scoreboard you tap. Score, clock, down, field position - five seconds mid-drive, on a phone, one hand.
02
Replay the archive
Every game as a curve, with the plays that bent it flagged.
03
Read the methodology
A gradient-boosted model, calibrated and honest about what it does not know. No black box.
Not betting advice. YardLine publishes model estimates for analysis and entertainment. Outputs are probabilistic, carry no guarantee of accuracy, and are not a prediction of any wagering outcome. Nothing here is a recommendation to place a bet.
YardLine is an independent project. Team names and records are used descriptively; no affiliation with, or endorsement by, any school or conference is implied.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
YardLine is an independent project. Team names and records are used descriptively; no affiliation with, or endorsement by, any school or conference is implied.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.